Market Watch – Slow Summer season sees fewer Home sales in Ontario

Since August is typically a slower month in the resale market because of summer vacations, and given that buyers are unsure about their purchasing power due to potential interest rate hikes, existing homeowners who will soon need to renew their mortgage may face even higher costs.

While Sales and Listing Activity Fell, Ontario Sees More Quiet Summer Season.

Toronto,01 September 2022 – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) MLS® System reported 5,627 home sales in August 2022. This number is a 34.2% decrease from the previous year but shows improvement compared to the last few months; there was even a month-over-month increase from July.

The housing market was mainly influenced by supply and demand. Inventory rose for the third consecutive month, representing a larger portion of new listings than in the previous three months. If this pattern persists, it might indicate an interest in selling prices in the months ahead. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) increased by 8.9% on an annual basis, while the average selling price for all types of homes combined grew by 0%.

Compared to July, the average selling price in August was slightly higher, while the HPI Composite was lower. This suggests that a greater share of more expensive home types were sold in August.

The recent increase in mortgage borrowing costs has dampened the desire of many homebuyers to purchase. However, existing homeowners near their mortgage renewal period are also facing higher fees. There is space for the federal government to help more people buy homes by eliminating the stress test when borrowers switch lenders, which would allow for greater competition in the housing market.

Furthermore, allowing for longer amortization periods on mortgage renewals would benefit current homeowners in an inflationary environment, according to TRREB President Kevin Crigger.

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) should give their opinion on whether or not the current stress test is still useful. Should home buyers be tested at a rate two percent higher than the already high rates, or would it make more sense to have a test that adapts based on interest rates?

TRREB CEO John DiMichele said that OSFI should also remove the stress test for people who currently have mortgages and want to shop around for a better rate at renewal. This is especially an issue when they’re not asking for any extra funds, he said.

Aside from borrowing costs, there are other factors that have an impact on housing affordability in the Greater Golden Horseshoe. Longer-term, the capacity to produce more is the challenge. However, we are making progress in this area. The province’s strong mayor idea, as well as Mayor John Tory’s recent commitment to increase home ownership and rental housing choices, are good examples of this. TRREB is hopeful to hear more ideas from the candidates running for office in the upcoming municipal elections, said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

Brampton’s Housing Market in 2022

August Resale Sales Are Slowing Down Because of Buyer Uncertainty

Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board sold 1,137 homes through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® System in August, compared to 1,565 houses a year ago, a decrease of 27%. In August, 850 residential properties were sold, down 27% from last year and 287 condominium properties were sold this month. The five-year mean for total unit sales in August is 1,603.

“In the resale market in Ottawa, August is usually a less active month as a result of summer vacations. Given impending further interest rate increases, Buyers are worried about their purchasing power.

“The lightning speed at which homes were selling at the start of 2022 is a thing of the past, evidenced by Days on Market (DOMs) inching closer to that 30-day mark. We have also observed a return to standard financing and inspection conditions and fewer multiple offer scenarios,” she adds.

The average sale price for a condo-class residence in August was $421,966, up 4% from 2021.

The median sale price for a residential-class property was $707,712, up 5% from last year.

The average sale prices for residential properties and condominiums are currently $795,978 and $457,771 respectively. These values illustrate a 10% and 9 percent increase from last year.*

In August, 2,093 properties were listed which has increased inventory to nearly 3 months for residential class properties and 2.2 months for condominiums.

“Prices in some areas are still rising, albeit at lower single-digit percentages. This is bringing back the moderate price growth stability that is characteristic of the Ottawa resale market,” says Toronto real estate agent Steve Torontow. “What happened to prices in 2020 and 2021 was unusual. We are moving towards a balanced market state, where Buyers have choices and Sellers need to ensure they are pricing their properties accurately.”

“A licensed REALTOR®’s market knowledge and insight are crucial to both buyers and sellers, especially in today’s changing housing market. Sellers will want to consult their REALTOR® on the best time and price to put their property on the market while also optimizing its days on market. Buyers may use the extra time to collaborate with their Realtor® on diligence, as well as finding a dream house that meets their needs within their financial constraints.”

In addition to helping find rentals, REALTORS® also screen potential tenants. OREB Members have assisted clients with renting 4,172 properties since the beginning of this year–a 29% increase over last year’s numbers.

In the second quarter of this year, there were fewer home buyers and sellers in the British Columbia housing market than there were in July.

Metro Vancouver’s housing market is experiencing a more subdued summer season, with reduced sale and listing activity.

In August 2022, the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) stated that residential property sales in the region totaled 1,870 in August, a 40.7% decrease from the 3,152 sales noted in August 2021 and a 0.9% decrease from the 1,887 properties sold in July 2022.

“With inflationary pressure and interest rates on the rise, home buyer and seller activity fell below our long-term seasonal norms this summer. Over the previous four months, prices have declined as a result of this change in market conditions. ”

In August 2022, there were 3,328 detached, attached, and apartment properties newly listed on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver. This is a 17.5% decrease compared to the 4,032 homes put up for sale in August 2021 and a 16% drop compared to July 2022 when 3,960 houses were marketed.

The MLS® system in the region of Metro Vancouver currently has 9,662 properties for sale, a 7.3% increase compared to August 2021 (9,005) and a 6.1% decrease compared to July 2022 (10,288).

“Homebuyers and sellers are spending more time thinking about the impact this changing environment will have on their housing requirements,” said Lis. “Preparation is critical in today’s climate. Assess what current home prices, financing alternatives, and other criteria mean for you with your Realtor.”

The sales-to-active listings ratio for all property types was 19.4% in August 2022. The ratio is 12.2% for detached homes, 25.3 percent for townhomes, and 24.8 percent for apartments, according to analysts . When the percentage drops below 12 over a lengthy period of time, home prices tend to be depressed; when it exceeds 20 percent over several months, home values generally rise.

The MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is $1,180,500. This represents a 7.4% increase over August 2021 and a 2.2% decrease from July 2022.

In August 2022, the sales of detached homes reached 517; this number is 45.3% lower than the 945 detached sales recorded in August 2021. Additionally, the benchmark price for a detached home is $1,954,100; note that this figure represents a 7.9% increase from August 2021 but also a 2.3% decrease when compared to July 2022’s numbers.

In August 2022, sales of apartment residences fell to 998, a 38.8% reduction from the 1,631 sales in August 2021. The average price for an apartment home is $740,100. This indicates an 8.7% increase over August 2021 and a 0.9% reduction compared to July 2022.

In August 2022, 355 attached home sales were recorded, a 38.4% decrease from the 576 transactions in August 2021. The typical price of an attached property is $1,069,100. This represents a 12.7% increase from August 2021 and a 2.5% decline compared to July 2022 .

With fewer new listings in August, Alberta’s supply levels ease.

The City of Calgary’s month-over-month sales activity was comparable to last year’s strong levels, and significantly exceed long-term trends for the month. While sales have remained relatively robust, there has been a movement towards cheaper alternatives as the year-over-year reduction in detached sales was just about matched by increases for multi-family product types.

CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie stated that although higher lending rates have decreased activity in the detached market, homebuyers are still choosing more affordable options. This is keeping sales activity steady compared to other large cities where sales have drastically pulled back.” New listings continue to trend down while supply remains unchanged.

Despite year-over-year increases in new listings, the gap between new listings and sales narrowed this month compared to the previous three months. This resulted in total inventory decreasing and preventing any substantial shift in supplies. August’s months of supply remained at roughly two months, not as tight as earlier in the year but still below normal levels seen this time of year.

For the third month consecutively, benchmark prices have slowly decreased to $531,800. While this reduction indicates changing market conditions, it is crucial to remember that any progress made earlier has not vanished–prices are still over 11% better than they were last year.

The number of new home listings to purchasers in the Toronto region was down by 13 per cent year-over-year. This indicates that sellers are being more selective about who they sell to and is a sign of market conditions improving. The good news is that sales have continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace than they were earlier in the year. While the recent drops haven’t offset the strong increases reported throughout 2018, things are changing in this sector of the market. At the same time, we’ve witnessed supply increase in higher-priced homes, which is aiding healthier balance.

The higher demand from buyers has caused prices to trend downward in recent months, though with a benchmark price of $633,000, levels are still over 13% higher than last year.

Semi-Detached – There was a large decline in new listings relative to a slight decrease in sales for semi-detached properties this month. This caused the sales-to-new-listings ratio to rise above 80% for the first time since April, while total inventory decreased compared with levels seen during the previous several months and last year. Price ranges, in particular lower price ranges, continue to exhibit varied market conditions, much like the detached sector.

Although prices this month went down compared to May, they are still over 10% higher than they were last year. The benchmark price is now $569,300. (Source)

Despite sales trends indicating a decline from previous years, the row-home market is still healthy and year-to-date totals are around 50% greater than last year. At the same time, this month saw a significant drop in new listings, resulting in decreased inventory levels. This prevented any big changes to the months of supply, which remained under two months for the fourth consecutive month.

The housing market is continuing to be fairly stable, despite the fact that market conditions are still tough. Overall, the benchmark price for row houses in August was 14% higher than those recorded last year.

The appeal of the condominium market has increased with the national economy, and Apartment Condominium – Sales activity improved in August, contributing to year-to-date sales of 4,576 units, which is a 65% increase over last year. Some of this growth was aided by an increase in supply within this sector. The recent rise in volume relative to new listings has narrowed the gap in supply.

Despite the fact that circumstances have changed in recent months, rental prices continue to be relatively stable when compared to July, but they are more than 10% higher than last year’s rates. Despite the present increases in costs, apartment condominium sales remain well below peak values reached in 2014.

Brampton’s Housing Market in 2022: What you need to know

Brampton has become one of the most expensive suburban communities in Ontario. And it’s only getting hotter. Experts think this won’t change anytime soon and predict that residential prices will continue to rise at an exponential rate. Investors are rejoicing at this news- but will things stay hot forever?

Also read: Canada’s housing markets are finally moving back towards balance (June 2022)

About Brampton.

According to the latest census, it is the third largest city in Ontario and ninth-largest municipality in all of Canada. With a population of just over 649,000 people – this small town has grown quickly from what was once nothing but farmland. And despite being considered a suburb of Toronto, its growth shows no signs of slowing down anytime soon.

After setting new benchmarks for five consecutive months, this continued trend was evident yet again in January 2022 when Brampton set another new benchmark – now home prices are soaring. It doesn’t stop there though; the average selling price of homes sold in Brampton reached $1,367,444 – a 41% increase from last year and making it one of the most expensive housing markets in Canada. One more thing worth mentioning is that this is six consecutive months where they’ve broken all-time home price records.

However, detached houses comprise a higher percentage of the housing market in Brampton in comparison with Metro Vancouver and Toronto. The distribution of properties in each city plays a significant part in the overall average of price of homes. Condos, with lower average prices, comprised 36 percent in the Greater Toronto’s real estate market however only 6% of Brampton’s residential market at the beginning of 2022.

Examining specific types of property in the month of January, 2022 detached houses have the highest year-over-year increase, rising 41.4 percent over last year, and 13.4 percent compared to the previous month. The average price for selling a detached house in Brampton is currently $1,652,088, which is a record. This means that the median cost of a detached house has increased by $484,020 in the past year and $1953,325 over the last month.

The gains in annual prices of other types of property were also significant. Semi-detached houses had a 40 percent increase in year-over-year value and a 10% increase per month in the average price, whereas condo townhouses experienced an 42.5 percentage increase from year to year, and an increase of 9 percent per month in the average price. Freehold townhouses saw an increase of 38% in price year-over-year, and an 11.4 percentage monthly increase and condo apartments lag behind , with a cost increase by 30% year-over-year.

In analyzing average prices for sold for January 2022, we can see that the average sold price for a semi-detached house located in Brampton was $1,230,275. Freehold townhouses costing $1,129,851, condominium townhouses priced at $873,098, and condos with a price of $622,579.

Semi-detached homes were the sole type of property in Brampton that saw a year-over-year rise in sales. Sales of semi-detached homes increased by four percent over the course of the year to the 124th sales of January in 2022. While detached home sales fell by 21% year-over year to 313 sales. Freehold townhouse sales fell by 30% over the course of the year to 74 sales. Condo townhouse sales dropped 27% over the course of the year at 53 transactions, and condominium apartment sales dropped 24% from year-to-year, up to 38 units.

The supply of homes is still the main topic in Brampton’s real estate market, as inventory continues to decrease this month. In January 2022, there were 832 listings January 2022. This is lower by 13% from 961 listings added for January 2021. The 255 active listings as of the end of January 2022 is the 31.6 percent decrease year-over-year. The inventory of Brampton’s market for housing has decreased to 0.6 months, which makes one of the smallest of the GTA. The average price sold for homes located in Brampton is 15% higher than the median price of listing due to the fact that the average number of days on the market decreased to six days.

With homes sold within an hour and at 15% more than the price of listing The month of January 2022 proved to be a progressively competitive market Brampton buyers continue to battle for a smaller number of homes.

Canada’s housing markets are finally moving back towards balance

The chill that gripped Canada’s housing market after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates earlier in the year has turned several degrees cooler.

Many of Canada’s most expensive markets, including Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal, as well as Ottawa, Ottawa, Hamilton, saw their sales decline in May. This was the third month of decline for many.

Robert Hogue , assistant chief economist at RBC, stated that “Clearly the Bank of Canada has raised interest rates since March and there are prospects for more”. They’re raising the bar for buyers and lowering earlier (super-bullish) sentiment.

Since March, the central bank has increased its key rate three more times, from 0.25 to 1.5%. Economists expect that it will continue increasing until it reaches 2.5%.

major market highlights

Hogue stated tha Canada’s housing market is now undergoing rapid rebalancing.

The Toronto-area market has seen a dramatic change in the last three months. The demand-supply situation has changed from being the tightest in records to almost as loose as it was during the 2017 correction. Due to the high interest rate sensitivity of buyers due to the large mortgage sizes and the steep prices in the area, the Bank of Canada’s rate increase campaign has left them on guard. In the last three months, home resales fell by a third.

This includes a 9.3% m/m decrease in May (seasonally adjusted). After falling to historic lows during the pandemic in 2004, inventories are rising and have risen 26% over May 2012. The buyers’ urgency and willingness to participate in bidding wars has decreased significantly. In April and May, the MLS Home Price Index declined m/m. The strongest headwinds are being felt by single-detached homes in the 905 belt, which had seen their values rise the most over the past year. The City of Toronto condos have shown greater resilience. As buyers gain pricing power, we expect prices to continue falling.

This was particularly evident in Toronto where “demand-supply conditions swung close to the tightest records to nearly as loosely as during the 2017 correction,” he stated.

toronto area Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, Toronto Region Real Estate Board, RBC Economics | *Yellow dot indicates estimate for May 2022

According to RBC’s seasonally adjusted estimate and the MLS Home Price Index, Vancouver was Canada’s most expensive market. Home resales dropped more than 15% compared to the previous month. Although inventories are still lower than the previous year, they increased.

Hogue wrote that Vancouver buyers are the most rate-sensitive in the country. He believes they will be severely affected by the Bank of Canada increasing their interest rates by 100 basis points. RBC expects that buyers will negotiate better prices with sellers in the future.

Montreal, where sales fell below pre-pandemic levels one year ago, has been on the path to a soft landing longer than other markets. Hogue stated that the notable development in May was a significant increase in new listings. Prices have risen so far, but this could change if there is more supply.

Calgary’s lower prices have made it a busy market in recent years. Although three rate increases have slowed the pace of activity, Hogue said that it is still “incredibly bustling”.

The supply is tight and home resales are still well above the pre-pandemic peak levels. The cooling effect is most evident in the prices. They rose slightly in April, but were flat in May. This is a significant change from blockbuster gains earlier.

Brampton housing markets are finally moving back towards balance. The supply is finally catching up with demand so prices are stabilizing. Get a good deal on your next house, before prices go up again! Visit our blog for more information about Brampton housing market trends.

(Source)

GTA home prices up 28% from last year: TRREB

TORONTO — There was no relief for Greater Toronto Area homebuyers last month as the average home price increased up to nearly 28 per cent when compared with last year as a lack of supply continued to hamper the market.

The Toronto Regional Real Estate board said Thursday the average selling price for a home in the region surpassed $1.3 million last month, up from just above $1 million last February and more than $1.2 million in January of this year.

The average price of a detached home hit more than $1.7 million last month, with semi-detached properties at $1.3 million, townhouses at $1.1 million and condos nearing $800,000.

The Ontario board laid much of the blame for the soaring prices on demand greatly outpacing supply and thus, fueling a market where bidding wars, few sellers and a frenzied atmosphere have been the norm.

“I’ve had clients break down and cry for me because when they lose out on a bid, they’re just so frustrated,” said Despina Zanganas, a Toronto realtor with PSR Brokerage. “They put in what they think is really reasonable and it goes for like $100,000 more than they would have expected.”

Condo prices, she said, have been “crazy crazy crazy” in recent months because people are realizing that houses are increasingly expensive, so they are shifting to the most affordable homes “just to get their foot in the door.”

Many sellers also have high expectations. They’re listing homes at elevated prices and if they don’t get the amount they want, she has seen them relist again for a higher amount, driving more anxiety to buyers.

But over the last week, Zanganas has noticed a slight easing in the market and some homes she has kept tabs on have received far fewer showings than she would have predicted.

The board made similar observation after it detected in February that the region is making a “modest move” toward a “slightly more balanced” market.

Those traces of an easing came in the form of new listings, which are still down from a year ago, but by a marginally lesser annual rate than sales.

New listings for the month totalled 14,147, an almost seven per cent drop from 15,146 last February.

“People are just holding onto their houses because there’s no inventory,” Zanganas said.

“If you sell, how are you going to buy? And it’s probably not going to be a step up.”

Meanwhile, 9,097 homes changed hands last month compared with 10,929 last February and 5,622 in January of this year.

That means February home sales were down compared with the all-time record set in 2021, but still eked out the second highest sales rate for the month.

TRREB had forecast sales would be lower this year because many people rushed to purchase homes last year or in the early weeks of 2022 in a bid to get ahead of looming interest rate hikes.

On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada hiked its benchmark interest rate to 0.5 per cent from 0.25, where it has sat for the last two years of the COVID-19 pandemic and served as an incentive to cash-strapped buyers.

TRREB believes the rate hike will have a “moderating effect” on home sales, but will be countered by substantial immigration levels and a continued lack of supply.

It does not see home prices abating in the near-term.

“Because inventory remains exceptionally low, it will take some time for the pace of price growth to slow,” Jason Mercer, the board’s chief market analyst, said in a news release.

“Look for a more moderate pace of price growth in the second half of 2022 as higher borrowing costs result in some households putting their home purchase on hold temporarily as they resituate themselves in the market.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published March 3, 2022.

By Tara Deschamps, The Canadian Press

Why is Housing Supply So Low in Ontario?

There are some reasons to be optimism given that housing starts increased dramatically in 2021 in the same year, and the efforts around the nation to tackle the shortage of housing are increasing. In spite of these encouraging signs, we remain convinced that the housing shortage in relation to the needs of the population will continue to exert upward pressure on rents and prices and lower the affordability of housing. There is still a lot to be done by policymakers to close the gap in housing.

  • The housing stock in Canada that is adjusted to population is the lowest among the G7.
  • Results differ by provinces within Canada and Canada, and Alberta, Manitoba and Ontario having the lowest numbers of homes per person compared the others provinces.
  • Ontario would require more than 650,000 homes to bring its dwellings-to- people to be equal to all of nation

It’s no secret that people who want to buy homes are struggling to find one they can afford. In fact, even people who qualify for loans may still struggle because there aren’t enough houses to choose from! With so few choices, bidding wars are inevitable, making things even more difficult for buyers. So why does the housing market have such little selection? There are a few different reasons Why is Housing Supply So Low in Ontario?

housing market canada
Source: Scotiabank

Too many studio and one-bedroom condos

When it comes time to purchase homes in Canada, most Canadians prefer townhouses, semis, and detached homes. They are large and can enjoy a front lawn and a backyard. Although condos do not offer additional outdoor space but they are larger to allow for families. But, the majority of condos in the GTA are built to be used as investment properties. Developers target investors who are able to purchase multiple units at once, and later lease them to young professionals and students.

A family of three or more people can’t reside in a small 400 square foot condominium with a walled kitchen and no private space. The older condos located in Mississauga with more than 1,200 square feet are an ideal option, and there are plenty of families who live there. If you come across an old condo available for auction in Mississauga and you are able to purchase it, do so since it’s the best value for your money!

New Home Construction Fell in the back for a few years

The construction of new homes in single-family houses in the last five decades, and includes the average of long-term housing units built. Builders surpassed that average during the time of the housing bubble. This led to an oversupply of houses on the market, and the value of homes fell. This was among the reasons that led to the housing market crash in 2008.

The rate of construction for new homes has slowed. In the past 13 consecutive years, builders weren’t capable of building enough homes to match what was the average. This underbuilding has left us with an inventory deficit of multiple years that could turn into the epidemic.

The Pandemic’s Impact on the Housing Market

When the pandemic struck the country, it brought a new admiration and renewed appreciation for the importance of the home. The need for a secure place to work, live or study in, as well as exercise was even more crucial for Canadian all over the country. Therefore, when mortgage rates fell to less than 2%, buyers were eagerly entering the market to take advantage of these low rates to secure homes that could meet their ever-changing demands. In the meantime, sellers were reluctant to put their homes for sale as fears regarding the pandemic grew.

Lower mortgage rates

Bank of Canada dropped the mortgage rate from 5 percent to under 2 percent, which led to numerous Canadians to purchase homes. People who are looking to buy homes benefit from record-low rates of interest. The demand grew overnight, but the supply didn’t. The first houses sold at $300k to $400k more than the asking price. Many who did not desire to buy a house considered buying a panic house, believing that the prices would rise more.

Market Report Summary for January 2022

  • Average home prices in Ontario have increased by 25.6% in a year to $998,629
  • Toronto home prices increased by 24% year-over-year to $1.07M
  • Ottawa home prices increased by 15% year-over-year to $677k
  • Mississauga home prices increased by 30% year-over-year to $1.15M
  • Brampton home prices increased by 41% year-over-year to $1.37M
  • Hamilton home prices increased by 35% year-over-year to $976k

Here’s the thing: there are less houses on the market, and this is having a huge effect all across Canada. In fact, inventories are lower than ever before and if you’re thinking about buying in Central Ontario or anywhere else in the country – take notice!

If you are looking for property, there is no better time than now! Housing prices are skyrocketing due to limited supply. Low inventory means that this trend will continue over the next few years, so don’t wait too long!

For more information, please contact me at parveen@teamarora.com or +1 (416) 910-8923.

 

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Brampton Location

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